Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004419 0.004653 0.004894 0.005159 0.005445 0.005743 0.006078
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003974 0.004318 0.004687 0.005112 0.005592 0.006118 0.006742
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003674 0.004075 0.004517 0.005043 0.005656 0.006353 0.007210
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003530 0.003983 0.004494 0.005119 0.005868 0.006744 0.007860
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003373 0.003860 0.004420 0.005119 0.005977 0.007008 0.008359
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003221 0.003730 0.004325 0.005082 0.006030 0.007197 0.008766
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003061 0.003580 0.004197 0.004992 0.006007 0.007281 0.009035
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002928 0.003456 0.004090 0.004922 0.006000 0.007379 0.009320
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002842 0.003385 0.004047 0.004925 0.006085 0.007595 0.009770
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002686 0.003219 0.003875 0.004756 0.005932 0.007485 0.009760
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002621 0.003167 0.003845 0.004767 0.006016 0.007697 0.010209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002608 0.003178 0.003896 0.004886 0.006251 0.008123 0.010990
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002521 0.003093 0.003818 0.004831 0.006245 0.008214 0.011288
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002444 0.003017 0.003752 0.004788 0.006253 0.008324 0.011620
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002365 0.002936 0.003674 0.004725 0.006228 0.008384 0.011876
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002340 0.002926 0.003691 0.004794 0.006395 0.008733 0.012605
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002292 0.002883 0.003661 0.004794 0.006460 0.008929 0.013101
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002234 0.002825 0.003609 0.004760 0.006473 0.009045 0.013468
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002163 0.002746 0.003525 0.004678 0.006408 0.009037 0.013623
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002101 0.002679 0.003456 0.004613 0.006368 0.009063 0.013837
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002065 0.002646 0.003433 0.004617 0.006430 0.009255 0.014351
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001978 0.002541 0.003306 0.004461 0.006241 0.009031 0.014111
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001948 0.002515 0.003290 0.004471 0.006309 0.009231 0.014646